With the federal election happening this Monday April 28th, real estate activity across the Niagara Region is at a bit of s standstill. Buyers are out touring. Sellers are prepping. But offers? They're moving slower than usual.
Why? Because elections create uncertainty, and uncertainty creates hesitation.
Here's what we typically see around election time:
Buyers delay offers and wait to make any decisions. Why?:
Hoping that the winning party will introduce new incentives or reduce borrowing barriers
They are unsure how the election will affect interest rates, even if the Bank of Canada remains technically independent
They are cautious about entering the market if a change in government might result in policy shifts that affect their buying power/affordability.
Sellers pause listings, until there is more certainty that:
Buyer demand will "bounce back" post-election
Any policy changes (such as tax credits) will expand the pool of active buyers
New headlines shift away from politics and back to the market.
Investors hold off, looking for hints towards changes in:
Capital gains or income tax
Short-term rental regulations
Zoning reform
Development incentives or disincentives
Tenant/landlord legislation shifts.
Even people who want to move on their plans are often saying: "Let's wait to see what happens first."
This year, housing has taken centre stage in most party platforms.
Here's a breakdown of housing proposals: Liberal vs. Conservative:
🔴 Liberal Party Platform (Incumbent)
The Liberals are focused on increasing supply, targeting affordability, and offering direct incentives to first-time buyers.
Key promises include:
Doubling housing starts to 500,000 units annually
Through federal funding, public-private partnerships, and incentives for builders
Goal: Reduce pressure on resale prices and rental costs by building fast
Expanding the First-Time Home Buyer Incentive
Possible increases to tax credits, shared-equity support, or CMHC-backed programs
Makes ownership more accessible, especially in areas like Niagara with average prices under $700K
Releasing federal lands for housing
Turning government-owned sites (especially near transit) into residential developments
Could affect availability of new builds in places like Grimsby, St. Catharines, or Welland where land is limited
Tightening short-term rental rules
Implications for Niagara:
If implemented, these policies could increase local inventory and buyer incentives, but may also limit short-term rental income strategies. First-time buyers stand to gain the most.
🔵 Conservative Party Platform
The Conservatives are focused on free-market approaches, reducing regulation, and opening up development opportunities by cutting red tape.
Key proposals include:
Incentivizing municipalities to build faster
Tying federal infrastructure funding to housing approvals
Goal: Push cities to speed up permits, zoning, and infill density allowances
Encouraging private development
Reduced taxes and regulations for builders
Loosening zoning restrictions to allow more duplexes, triplexes, and fourplexes in low-density areas
Reviewing CMHC's role
Suggests re-evaluating Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s mandate to increase private sector efficiency
Possibly fewer subsidies, but more room for market-driven solutions
Supporting investor ownership
Implications for Niagara:
If elected, the Conservatives' approach could attract more developers to smaller communities like Thorold, Pelham, and Port Colborne by cutting down approval timelines. Investors and builders would likely re-engage quickly, while first-time buyers would see fewer direct supports.
So, What Should You Do?
If you're a buyer or seller in the Niagara Region right now, here's the takeaway:
- The election is likely delaying but not derailing the spring market.
- Once the results are in, we could see a short and sharp uptick in activity, especially if new policies are announced.
- Use this time to get prepared. Pre-approvals, listing prep, neighbourhood research, etc. So you're ready before the crowd returns.
Making smart moves starts with smart advice.
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